New study reveals the most and least successful NFL head coaches in 2023, according to new research
- Bill Belichick ranks first place as the most successful NFL head coach
- Andy Reid comes in second place, while Sean McVay places third
- Dennis Allen is the least successful NFL head coach
A new study has revealed which current NFL head coaches are the most and least successful.
The study, conducted by gambling site CSGOLuck.com, ranked the most and least successful head coaches of the 2023-2024 season based on a variety of factors, including their win percentage, average division finish, and playoff games won.
Each variable was awarded an index score from 0 to 10 based on raw data, with 0 being the worst and 10 being the best, to determine the overall index score of each head coach.
The most successful NFL head coaches are as follows:
Rank | Head Coach | Current Team | Index score out of 100 |
1 | Bill Belichick | New England Patriots | 80.26 |
2 | Andy Reid | Kansas City Chiefs | 57.48 |
3 | Sean McVay | Los Angeles Rams | 54.36 |
4 | Kyle Shanahan | San Francisco 49ers | 49.86 |
5 | Pete Carroll | Seattle Seahawks | 49.67 |
In first place, with an overall score of 80.26, is Bill Belichick. Belichick has been a head coach for 29 years, this being more than any other coach in the league, as well as 480 games under his management; these figures earned him an index score of 10 for years served and games coached. Belichick also received a score of 7.91 for his winning percentage for the New England Patriots due to his 65% success rate.
The second most successful head coach in the NFL is Andy Reid, who has an overall score of 57.48. Reid currently has the second longest service as a head coach of 25 years, achieving an index score of 9.56 in years of action. With 396 games coached in his career, he received an impressive score of 9.7 for games coached for the Kansas City Chiefs.
Sean McVay ranks as the third most successful NFL head coach, with an overall score of 54.36. McVay has displayed he’s an eager winner with an average playoff win percentage of 70%, equating to 9.8 as an index score, this being the third highest in the NFL. He is also one of the only managers to win a Superbowl.
The fourth most successful head coach in the NFL is Kyle Shanahan, scoring 49.86 overall. Shanahan has coached 108 games in his time with the 49ers and has even managed to win a conference championship during this time as head coach in his relatively short 7 years active in the industry. Out of 9 playoff games coached, the San Francisco 49ers managed to win 6, resulting in a respectful index score of 9.34 for win percentage in the playoffs.
In fifth place, with an overall score of 49.67, is Pete Carroll. Carroll is currently the third longest-serving head coach, a total of 18 years, giving him a score of 8.85 for years of service.
The least successful NFL head coaches are as follows:
Rank | Head Coach | Current Team | Score out of 100 |
1 | Dennis Allen | New Orleans Saints | 18.28 |
2 | Mike McDaniel | Miami Dolphins | 18.62 |
3 | Jonathan Gannon | Arizona Cardinals | 20.00 |
4 | Matt Eberflus | Chicago Bears | 20.64 |
5 | Todd Bowles | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20.84 |
Dennis Allen takes the top spot as the least successful head coach in the NFL, with an overall score of 18.28. Allen has just 5 years’ experience as a head coach, has achieved no participation in the playoffs, no Superbowl wins, and no conference championships. He received an index score of 0 for all these variables and has an overall win percentage of just 32%.
The second least successful head coach in the NFL is Mike McDaniel, with an overall score of 18.62. Although he achieved no playoff wins, McDaniel is one of the only coaches in the bottom five to coach a single playoff game, giving him an index score of 0.23. However, with just 2 years as their head coach, the Miami Dolphins have a solid overall win percentage of 59%, resulting in an index score of 6.43, which is impressive considering his low overall ranking.
Jonathan Gannon of the Arizona Cardinals is the fourth least successful head coach, with an overall score of 20 out of 100. Gannon achieved the lowest score of 0 for most variables including any participation or wins in the playoffs. He also places joint last in the average division finish variable, scoring 4 out of 4 in the Cardinals division, putting them at the bottom of their league division. Gannon only has 1 year of experience, and the lack of time spent as a head coach could be a result of his lower rankings.
The fourth least successful NFL head coach is Matt Eberflus, who has an overall score of 20.64. Eberflus has a score of 2.58 for years active, with just 2 years of experience. He has also had little success in other areas with playoffs, the Superbowl, and conference championships all scoring 0.
Todd Bowles takes fifth place as the least successful head coach, with an overall score of 20.84. The leader of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has managed to make one appearance at the playoffs with a score of 0.23 for games coached, however, didn’t manage to get the win and acquired a score of 0 for playoff wins. Bowles is yet to win a Superbowl or conference championship, both currently with a score of 0.
A spokesperson from CSGOLuck commented on these findings:
“These results are a testament to what factors really impact how successful a head coach can be in leading a team to victory. In this case, it is clear that wisdom does come with age and experience as the longest-serving head coaches seem to be making the biggest difference in their team’s success.”
These findings reflect that many different variables influence the success of an NFL team, and it is essential that coaches work hard to help their team get to the top of the league”.
-ENDS-
If you are planning on using this information, please credit and link to https://csgoluck.com/ as CSGOLuck
Methodology
The following data was gathered for every NFL head coach in the 2023-2024 season;
- Total years active
- Games coached
- Win percentage
- Number of years in playoffs
- Playoff games coached
- Playoff games won
- Playoff game win percentage
- Average division finish
- Number of Superbowl wins
- Number of conference championships.
Each variable is ranked relative to the variable’s range in other states, such that a score of zero represents the worst among the variables, and a score of 10 represents the best. The scaled indicators were then indexed using the weightings above the table to achieve the final index scores and overall rank for each head coach.
Data Source: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/coaches/
Full Ranking
Rank | Head Coach | Current Team | Index score out of 100 |
1 | Bill Belichick | New England Patriots | 80.26 |
2 | Andy Reid | Kansas City Chiefs | 57.48 |
3 | Sean McVay | Los Angeles Rams | 54.36 |
4 | Kyle Shanahan | San Francisco 49ers | 49.86 |
5 | Pete Caroll | Seattle Seahawks | 49.67 |
6 | Zac Taylor | Cincinatti Bengals | 49.29 |
7 | John Harbaugh | Baltimore Ravens | 48.10 |
8 | Sean Payton | Denver Broncos | 47.21 |
9 | Mike Tomlin | Pittsburgh Steelers | 47.01 |
10 | Doug Pederson | Jacksonville Jaguars | 46.87 |
11 | Kevin Stefanski | Cleveland Browns | 45.98 |
12 | Mike McCarthy | Dallas Cowboys | 45.57 |
13 | Nick Sirianni | Philadelphia Eagles | 44.73 |
14 | Brian Daboll | New York Giants | 43.50 |
15 | Matt Lafleur | Green Bay Packers | 40.85 |
16 | Sean McDermott | Buffalo Bills | 38.68 |
17 | Ron Rivera | Washington Commanders | 38.55 |
18 | Mike Vrabel | Tennessee Titans | 37.18 |
19 | Antonio Pierce | Las Vegas Raiders | 35.66 |
20 | Frank Reich | Carolina Panthers | 35.31 |
21 | Brandon Staley | Los Angeles Chargers | 27.01 |
22 | Shane Steichen | Indianapolis Colts | 25.83 |
23 | Demeco Ryans | Houston Texans | 24.16 |
24 | Kevin O’Connell | Minnesota Vikings | 24.14 |
25 | Robert Saleh | New York Jets | 22.81 |
26 | Dan Campbell | Detroit Lions | 22.43 |
27 | Arthur Smith | Atlanta Falcons | 21.65 |
28 | Todd Bowles | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20.84 |
29 | Matt Eberflus | Chicago Bears | 20.64 |
30 | Jonathan Gannon | Arizona Cardinals | 20.00 |
31 | Mike Mcdaniel | Miami Dolphins | 18.62 |
32 | Dennis Allen | New Orleans Saints | 18.28 |
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